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Election 2008

Lesson from Election 2005No body argues that the 2005 election was anti-climax for the voters, the opposition parties as well as the government. In fact, it had been a traumatic experience for all stakeholders. At subconscious level, election to the ruling party may mean fear, getting cornered, loss of power, privilege and even more compromising one’s own security and survival. For the public, it could mean engaging in a pointless exercise where their vote would be disregarded after all the trouble of queuing to cast their votes. It may have left a nagging feeling like, “If you want to stay…

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The coming Regional and bye-election

In a nut shell, Ato Lidetu’s key points from the interview includes: that the ruling party has fielded more than 4.5 million candidates, that the total number of candidates of the opposition are less than 1/100 of EPRDF’s candidates, that some opposition candidates are unable to register as a result of various barriers by the ruling cadres, that EPRDF is deliberately requiring 300 candidates for each kebele to get the opposition out of the game, that the intimidation of opposition candidates by the ruling party cadres is still going on, etc. Even if there is a free and fair election,…

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What is Next?

On the other hand, the TPLF-led government is not only strengthening its grip but also working hard to make it very difficult for the opposition forces to get any ground. Some of the recent enacted laws, like the one making political parties to question their supporters who drop 10 birr in to collection box whether they are Ethiopian, had connection with terrorist group or earned the money through disreputable means are reminders of this sad state. As a show of power, the TPLF-led government had registered 1 out of 4 eligible adults as a candidate for local and Federal bye-election.…

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Proposal for Inflation Control: Ethiopian Way

Fist, rise of crude oil price which is directly affecting price of imported goods as well as local products. Since import of petrol consumes up to 80 % Ethiopia’s export earning, impact of petrol on price of goods and services is significant. To combat inflation caused by petrol price, Mulu mentioned government’s plan to produce bio-fuel. Second, Mulu argues by saying “the seven million or so grain aid per year the country had secured in earlier years is no more in place. Instead the government is getting it in a form of money”. It is obvious that even though Ethiopia…

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The Rise and debacle of Kinijit, critical appraisal (Part Five)

8. Boycotting Parliament, Addis Ababa and Regional seats: i. What led Kinijit to boycott? In part two of my article, during post-election negotiation with the TPLF-led regime, I tried to show how Dr Birhanu’s contempt for Kinijit council’s collective decision coupled with his incompetence in handling the negotiation left Kinijit worse off. It is to be remembered that the Election Board had provisionally certified 158 Parliamentary seats won by Kinijit. Thanks to Dr Birhanu’s solo action and incompetence, after the negotiation and the signing of the agreement to settle the disputed seats with the vote of NEB, EPRDF and CUD…

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ASSESSMENT OF ECONOMIC REALITY OF ETHIOPIA

As I promised in my previous article, I would try to address the economic reality of the country in this article. My assessment of the political reality will follow soon. The reason I am writing my positive impressions is not to make the current regime brag about it and become complacent but to emphasise the importance of hard work to win the hearts and minds of the people. When we discuss economic development in Ethiopia, we should always keep in mind that 75% the population live at least a day walk from main roads; only less than 6% of the…

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The Rise and Debacle of Kinijit, Critical appraisal (Part Four)

7. AFD, the final straw which broke the back of Kinijit Diaspora: i. Was/is AFD a necessity? In principle, an all-inclusive and the widest possible opposition alliance against the incumbent TPLF regime is a necessity. Since no single party alone is currently capable of challenging TPLF and its coalition (EPRDF), opposition political parties do desperately need to pull their meager resources together. The opposition forces uncoordinated and scattered struggle is not going to get us anywhere. There can be no illusion about it. In light of this, I think, it is rationally wrong to oppose the formation of AFD or…

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The Rise and debacle of Kinijit, critical appraisal (Part Three)

6. KIL (the nemesis of Kinijit): i. KIL, was it Kestedamena’s brainchild to control Kinijit? The establishment of KIL was first leaked via Ato Berhane Mewa, citing the email message he received from Kaliti prison as evidence. The moment the news of the establishment of KIL was in the public domain, many people rightly questioned the very authenticity of the document. After the release of Kinijit leadership from prison, it now seems clear that KIL was indeed established with the blessing of some of the detained leaders. Very few of the detained leaders seem to be the architects of KIL’s…

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The Rise and debacle of Kinijit, critical appraisal (Part Two)

4. Kestedamena’s plot to control Kinijit: We have already seen the unsuccessful attempt to merge AEUP and UEDP-Medhin as a catalyst for the subsequent formation of Kinijit. We have also seen disagreement on equitable power sharing between the two parties as the root cause of the adverse outcome. Hence, no sooner than the coalition was formed, as it was the case during the two parties’ previous unsuccessful attempt, the power struggle between the two biggest parties resumed. In a way, the resumption of the internal power struggle between AEUP and UEDP-Medhin was foreseeable, noticeable and to a certain extent unavoidable.…

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